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12/10/08

A Bold Prediction

Photo by Keith Allison.

Last night, Zydrunas Ilgauskas passed Brad Daugherty to become the all-time leading rebounder in Cavaliers franchise history and Lebron James passed Mark Price to be become the Cavaliers' all-time steals leader. They trounced the Toronto Raptors, 114-94, which was their 9th straight victory by twelve points or more. In all these years, the NBA has never seen such a dominating win streak last this long. The Cavaliers haven't lost a home game this season. That's twelve home wins in a row, and counting - a franchise record. How about the overall record? 18-3, which is - you guessed it - the franchise's best start ever. The Cavaliers defense is suffocating, their offense firing on all cylinders. Dare I say, this team looks unstoppable. If you don't believe me, go see for yourself.

Think about how far the Cavaliers have come since last year. Things were chaotic during training camp and the first few months of the season. Aleksandar Pavlovic and Anderson Varejao were involved in contract hold-outs, the team seemed to have a hangover from their pre-season tour through China, and Larry Hughes was still on the roster. Lebron James carried the Cavaliers by himself almost every single night, averaging over forty minutes playing time. When he didn't play, the Cavaliers lost, plain and simple. During All-Star weekend they underwent a personnel change. Exit Larry Hughes, Drew Gooden, and Donyell Marshall; enter Joe Smith, Ben Wallace, Wally Szczerbiak, and Delonte West. The Big Trade seemed a bust, however. I twice witnessed the Cavaliers get scorched by Mo Williams and the lowly Milwaukee Bucks. The Cavaliers struggled to maintain a .500 record during the second half of the season, and amazingly held on to the four seed in the Eastern Conference. Yet, in the second round, these very average Cavaliers managed to take the Celtics, the eventual NBA champs, to the last minute of the seventh game in a seven-game series while on the road.

Well, that very average Cavaliers team wouldn't look average for much longer. On draft night, Danny Ferry picked up a promising power forward in J.J. HIckson, who turned a lot of heads in summer league. Then in August, as Lebron and his buddies were earning themselves some gold hardware in Beijing and redeeming USA Basketball's dignity on the biggest global stage, Ferry found a way to bring Mo Williams and his instantaneous, explosive offense to town. Further, West, Wallace, and Szczerbiak had more time to adapt to Mike Brown's system during the off-season and training camp.

The payoff wasn't immediate, but it still came fast. The Cavaliers won only one of their first three games, but have been on a roll ever since. Because their defense is so good and their offense so efficient, the Cavaliers have been able to build big leads fast, maintain them until the fourth quarter, and then rest their starters. This means less end-game heroics from Lebron, which means he averages less minutes; which means that if the Cavaliers keep up this routine, they may be heading into the post-season with a relatively well rested team. Moreover, if they keep winning like they do - and, barring injuries, I don't see why they won't - they very well may grab home court advantage throughout the playoffs. The Q is a madhouse. The prospects of another team beating the Cavaliers at home would be slim to none. So if a very average, Lebron-led, 07-08 Cavaliers team was only seconds from beating the 07-08 NBA champion, Big-Three-led, Celtics in game seven on the road, just imagine what a very good, well rested, Lebron-led Cavaliers team with home court advantage could do.

In lieu of this, here's my bold prediction (literally):

Cavaliers win 60+ games, earn home court advantage throughout the playoffs, and defeat the Lakers in six games, just so they can celebrate in front of the home crowd. Parties ensue throughout Northeast Ohio for three straight nights. The parade through Public Square soon follows. Cleveland sports fans breathe a sigh of relief.

God, I hope I'm right.

Creative Commons License
A Bold Prediction by Nathan M. Blackerby is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-Noncommercial-No Derivative Works 3.0 United States License.

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